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NZ Election Tracker© 2026 Tripwire Digital Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
Data: Wikipedia polls, Bluesky, NZ media RSSContact Us
Disclaimer: This site is an independent project and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to any political party, government body, or electoral agency. All polling data, sentiment analysis, and forecasts are provided for informational purposes only and should not be taken as definitive predictions of election outcomes. Data is sourced from publicly available information and may contain inaccuracies. Use at your own discretion.

Roadmap

What's live, what's coming, and what we're exploring for the 2026 NZ election cycle.

LiveIn ProgressPlannedExploring

Data Sources

NZ Media RSS Aggregation

Live

Automated ingestion from NZ Herald, RNZ, Stuff, Newsroom, The Post, and other major outlets.

Bluesky Sentiment Feed

Live

Real-time sentiment analysis from NZ political discussion on Bluesky.

Wikipedia Polling Data

Live

Structured poll results scraped from Wikipedia's NZ opinion polling tables.

Reddit Integration

In Progress

Ingest posts and comments from r/newzealand and r/nzpolitics for broader sentiment coverage.

Twitter / X Feeds

Exploring

Track NZ political accounts and hashtags for real-time discourse analysis.

Party Press Releases

Planned

Direct ingestion of official press releases from all registered NZ political parties.

Parliamentary Records

Exploring

Hansard transcripts and select committee submissions for policy tracking.

Prediction Market Data

Exploring

Observational layer surfacing speculative odds from platforms like Polymarket and PredictIt — kept separate from polling-based models.

Analytics & Models

Basic Sentiment Scoring

Live

NLP-based sentiment scoring of ingested content, broken down by party and topic.

Weighted Polling Average

Live

Recency-weighted polling averages with 14-day exponential decay half-life across all recent polls.

Historical Election Results

Live

Full NZ election party vote results (2017, 2020, 2023) for trend analysis and model backtesting.

Monte Carlo Seat Simulation

Live

Probabilistic seat projections using 10K Monte Carlo iterations on logit-scale with Sainte-Laguë allocation per iteration.

Composite Sentiment Index

Live

Single numeric party health score (−100 to +100) combining recency-weighted sentiment and media volume over a rolling 7-day window.

Coalition Probability Engine

Exploring

Model likely coalition combinations with probability scores based on polling and seat simulations.

Features & UX

Interactive Electorate Map

Live

Leaflet-powered map with per-electorate results, candidate info, and demographic overlays.

Real-time Countdown Timer

Live

Live countdown to election day with days, hours, minutes, and seconds.

Push Notifications (PWA)

Live

Opt-in browser notifications via service worker for poll releases, major news, and sentiment shifts.

Email Digest / Alerts

Exploring

Weekly or daily email summaries of polling changes, top stories, and forecast shifts.

Shareable Widgets

Exploring

Embeddable widgets for media partners to display live polling data on their sites.

Dark / Light Theme Toggle

Live

User-selectable light, dark, and system theme with persistent localStorage preference.

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